The Observerist

The Top 3 Reasons The World Is Not Quite Ready For Fully Electric Vehicles

In the last ten years the adoption of EVs (Electric Vehicles) has made some progress.

Roger Skibowski
5 min readNov 6, 2022

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In 2021 worldwide 6.8 million EVs were purchased, compared to 55,400 in 2011. China is making the most progress, with hundreds of car manufacturers and nearly 300 models to choose from. Battery vehicles account for 79% versus 29% plugin-hybrids.

When you compare the population of China and the US to the number of EVs purchased in each country in 2021, the numbers are interesting. Using world population data from 2021 and the numbers from the visualization, China’s adoption is less than one percent of their population at .24% and the US is less than one percent of their population at .18%. It will be even more interesting to see what the next ten years bring to the world of EV with more advancements in battery technology.

Look at this visualization, for additional interesting information.

By the Year 2052

I see three areas that will evolve in the next 30 years that will support the transition from ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) to an EVs (Electric Vehicles) as a means of transportation. The three areas are battery technology, electrical generation, and charging infrastructure.

As progress is made in the three areas for automobiles it can then be applied to trucks, planes, trains, water vehicles, and any other modes of transportation. Likely not for rockets.

Battery Technology

Today the car manufacturer is not the gating factor in the adoption of EVs. The battery is what is holding up the progress of the ICE to EV transition. There are too many car manufacturers to count worldwide, both existing ones who have manufactured cars for some time, as well as new car manufacturers entering the market.

Most of the full electric or hybrid vehicles manufactured in the last 1–12 years used lithium-ion batteries. Lithium-ion batteries have been around for 50-plus years. Battery manufacturers have proven that you can only go so far with lithium-ion batteries. We can also no longer ignore the many…

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